Economics●●●●●Difficulty 2 of 5

Did tulip mania really ruin the Dutch?

A single bulb once cost ten years of a craftsman's wages, but the famous crash may have ruined almost nobody.

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Probably not. Tulip mania was real: prices for some bulbs soared from 1634 and crashed in February 1637, and it is often called the first recorded speculative bubble. But historians who went back to the archives found that the famous ruin was mostly a legend. The trade involved a fairly small group of wealthy merchants and craftsmen, and the Dutch Republic stayed one of the richest places on Earth.

The prices were genuinely wild. At the peak, some bulbs sold for more than ten times a skilled artisan's yearly income, and the star of the show, the Semper Augustus, fetched 10,000 guilders, roughly €130,000 today. Its gorgeous flame-like streaks were in fact caused by a virus that "breaks" a petal's single colour into several.

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a skilled artisan's yearly income: the price of some tulip bulbs at the peak in February 1637

Our picture of a nation gone mad comes from Charles Mackay's 1841 bestseller, Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, full of colourful tales like the sailor who ate a priceless bulb thinking it was an onion. His sources leaned on satires written to mock the speculators. When the historian Anne Goldgar studied real contracts, she found fewer than half a dozen traders in financial trouble, and even then tulips weren't clearly to blame. The reason is simple: most deals were promises on paper, and when prices fell, money had never actually changed hands.

Quiz me

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  1. 1.Why did the tulip crash cause surprisingly few real financial losses?
  2. 2.What made the most prized tulips, like the Semper Augustus, so special looking?
  3. 3.Why do historians distrust Charles Mackay's famous account of tulip mania?

Recap

Tulip prices really went wild, but the tale of a ruined nation came from satire and one bestselling book, not from the archives.

Surprising fact · Anne Goldgar found fewer than half a dozen traders in financial trouble, because most deals never involved money changing hands.

Sources (1)

No source, no claim. Every fact in this lesson (16 claims) cites at least one of these.

  1. [1]Tulip mania · Wikipedia
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